Pack odds · Marvel Super Heroes
Play Booster
6 commons · 1 common or source material · 3 uncommons · 1 wildcard of any rarity · 1 rare or mythic rare · 1 foil of any rarity · 1 land
Display $99.30 · $3.31 per pack
Product & contents →Chase pulls in this booster
The priciest card in each treatment, at Oct 25 singles. Rates are for the whole treatment, not this card.
Inside a Play Booster
14 cards and an insert. Published slot breakdown; unpublished rates remain unknown.
6 ·Commons
1–6| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per position | ≈180.0 | per position · ≈180.0 per display | ||
84 printings share this 100%; ≈1.19% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 84 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Common or source material
7| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 in 24 | ≈28.7 | per pack · ≈28.7 per display | |||
84 printings share this 23 in 24; ≈1.14% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 84 in Cards → | |||||
| 1 in 24 | ≈72.1% ≥1≈1.3 | per pack · ≈1.3 per display · ≈72.1% ≥1 | |||
60 printings share this 1 in 24; ≈0.07% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 60 in Cards → | |||||
3 ·Uncommons
8–10| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per position | ≈90.0 | per position · ≈90.0 per display | ||
112 printings share this 100%; ≈0.89% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 112 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Wildcard of any rarity
11| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
354 printings share this 100%; ≈0.28% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 354 in Cards →  The Mind StoneMSH 0021$41.94 Mjölnir, Hammer of ThorMSH 0339$27.72 Doctor DoomMSH 0365$24.76 Mjölnir, Hammer of ThorMSH 0303$23.27 Thor, God of ThunderMSH 0369$21.95 Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron ManMSH 0363$21.72 King T'Challa // Black Panther, Hope EnduringMSH 0373$20.37 Jennifer Walters // The Sensational She-HulkMSH 0328$19.75+346 more → | |||||
1 ·Rare or mythic rare
12| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
153 printings share this 100%; ≈0.65% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 153 in Cards → The Mind StoneMSH 0021$41.94Mjölnir, Hammer of ThorMSH 0339$27.72Doctor DoomMSH 0365$24.76Mjölnir, Hammer of ThorMSH 0303$23.27Thor, God of ThunderMSH 0369$21.95Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron ManMSH 0363$21.72King T'Challa // Black Panther, Hope EnduringMSH 0373$20.37Jennifer Walters // The Sensational She-HulkMSH 0328$19.75+145 more → | |||||
1 ·foil of any rarity
13| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
354 printings share this 100%; ≈0.28% each if equally weighted · Foil prices, Oct 25Open all 354 in Cards → The Mind StoneMSH 0021$81.54Mjölnir, Hammer of ThorMSH 0339$44.55Jennifer Walters // The Sensational She-HulkMSH 0328$41.08Thor, God of ThunderMSH 0369$38.29Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron ManMSH 0363$38.13Doctor DoomMSH 0365$37.02King T'Challa // Black Panther, Hope EnduringMSH 0373$33.75Mjölnir, Hammer of ThorMSH 0303$33.29+346 more → | |||||
1 ·Land
14| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | per pack | ≈24.0 | per pack · ≈24.0 per display | ||
30 printings share this 80%; ≈2.67% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 30 in Cards → | |||||
| 20% | per pack | ≈6.0 | per pack · ≈6.0 per display | ||
30 printings share this 20%; ≈0.67% each if equally weighted · Foil prices, Oct 25Open all 30 in Cards → | |||||
+ · Insert
One token or helper card; not included in the 14 game cards.
Official rates: Wizards · Collecting Marvel Super Heroes ↗ checked Oct 17, 2026
About these numberscategory rates, bounds, per display, per position, what isn’t a pull
A category rate is the chance of any card in that category, not one particular card. Cards within a category are not necessarily equally likely.
“Under 1%” is an upper bound, not an exact rate. Rounded published percentages may not sum to 100%.
Per-display counts are the expected number of hits: rate × packs, multiplied by positions only for a per-position rate. The secondary ≥1 chance assumes independent packs: 1 − (1 − p)30. It is omitted at 99% and above and where correlations prevent an estimate.
Per position describes one of several positions in the pack. “Everything else” fills that slot when the listed special category does not appear; a derived remainder uses the published rounded rates.
Not every card is a booster pull. Fixed decks, promos and product-exclusive cards have separate contents. Check a printing’s card page for its exact sources.
What a pack is worth
Market: $4.79 · Oct 24, 2026MSRP: $6.99 · Oct 17, 2026
- Average
- $4.50
- card value per pack
- Median
- $2.94
- half of modeled packs fall below this
- Beats market price
- 18.1%
- against $4.79 per pack
- Share of 1,000,000 modeled packs
- Beats $4.79 market price · 18.1%
- Median $2.94
Where the value comes from
Contributions to the average of $4.50.
By treatment family
Value by slotExpand the model’s slot breakdown
Model slots
Boxes, bundles & included extras
Boosters and verified fixed contents are counted once.
| Product | Contents | Modeled | Market | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundle9 × Play Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | 9 × Play Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | $46.41 | $40.09 | +16% |
| Bundle Case54 × Play Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | 54 × Play Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | $278.46 | $410.40 | -32% |
| Draft Night12 × Play Booster + 1 × Collector Booster + 1 × 90 fixed cards | 12 × Play Booster + 1 × Collector Booster + 1 × 90 fixed cards | ≥ $101.63 | $87.39 | — |
| Draft Night Case72 × Play Booster + 6 × Collector Booster + 1 × 540 fixed cards | 72 × Play Booster + 6 × Collector Booster + 1 × 540 fixed cards | ≥ $609.78 | $517.19 | — |
| Gift Bundle9 × Play Booster + 1 × Collector Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | 9 × Play Booster + 1 × Collector Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | ≥ $78.74 | $69.67 | — |
| Gift Bundle Case54 × Play Booster + 6 × Collector Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | 54 × Play Booster + 6 × Collector Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | ≥ $472.42 | $551.75 | — |
| Play Booster Box30 × Play Booster | 30 × Play Booster | $135.03 | $99.30 | +36% |
| Play Booster Box Case180 × Play Booster | 180 × Play Booster | $810.19 | $627.28 | +29% |
| Play Pack3 × Play Booster + 1 × 1 fixed cards | 3 × Play Booster + 1 × 1 fixed cards | $14.43 | $34.30 | -58% |
| Prerelease Pack1 × Prerelease promo + 6 × Play Booster | 1 × Prerelease promo + 6 × Play Booster | $29.32 | $23.29 | +26% |
| Prerelease Pack Case15 × Prerelease promo + 90 × Play Booster | 15 × Prerelease promo + 90 × Play Booster | $439.73 | $358.35 | +23% |
| Scene Box Case12 × Play Booster + 1 × 24 fixed cards | 12 × Play Booster + 1 × 24 fixed cards | $95.01 | $72.46 | +31% |
| Scene Box Heroes United3 × Play Booster + 1 × 6 fixed cards | 3 × Play Booster + 1 × 6 fixed cards | $23.62 | $19.31 | +22% |
| Scene Box Villains Unleashed3 × Play Booster + 1 × 6 fixed cards | 3 × Play Booster + 1 × 6 fixed cards | $23.88 | $17.92 | +33% |
| Commander Kit Avengers Assemble2 × Play Booster + 1 × 101 fixed cards | 2 × Play Booster + 1 × 101 fixed cards | $74.86 | $85.99 | -13% |
| Commander Kit Doom Prevails2 × Play Booster + 1 × 101 fixed cards | 2 × Play Booster + 1 × 101 fixed cards | $98.90 | $71.65 | +38% |
| Commander Kit Fantastic Four2 × Play Booster + 1 × 101 fixed cards | 2 × Play Booster + 1 × 101 fixed cards | $72.52 | Not verified | — |
| Commander Kit Wakanda Forever2 × Play Booster + 1 × 101 fixed cards | 2 × Play Booster + 1 × 101 fixed cards | $75.49 | Not verified | — |
| Quick Play Collection Box4 × Jumpstart Booster + 4 × Play Booster + 1 × 2 fixed cards | 4 × Jumpstart Booster + 4 × Play Booster + 1 × 2 fixed cards | $73.20 | Not verified | — |
Bonus packs & insertsIncluded separately in the product totals above
Marvel Super Heroes Collector Booster
15 cards · average at least $32.32 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- The Mind Stone · Foil · ≈1 in 1,000
- Thanos, the Mad Titan · Foil · ≈1 in 152
- Doctor Doom · Foil · ≈1 in 152
- Roaming Throne · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 76
- Ultron, Artificial Malevolence · Foil · ≈1 in 152
- Teferi's Protection · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 76
- Shang-Chi, Master of Kung Fu · Foil · ≈1 in 152
- Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man · Foil · ≈1 in 152
Marvel Super Heroes Prerelease Promo Pack
1 cards · average $2.31 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- The Mind Stone · Foil · ≈1 in 145
- Mjölnir, Hammer of Thor · Foil · ≈1 in 145
- The Ten Rings · Foil · ≈1 in 145
- Shang-Chi, Master of Kung Fu · Foil · ≈1 in 145
- Thor, God of Thunder · Foil · ≈1 in 145
- Cosmic Cube · Foil · ≈1 in 145
- Ultron, Artificial Malevolence · Foil · ≈1 in 145
- King T'Challa // Black Panther, Hope Enduring · Foil · ≈1 in 145
Marvel Super Heroes Jumpstart Booster
20 cards · average $9.97 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- Loki, Lord of Misrule · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
- Doctor Doom, Unrivaled · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
- The Vision and Scarlet Witch · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
- Devil Dinosaur · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
- Ultron the Annihilator · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
- Nico Minoru, Runaway · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
- Multiversal Recruitment · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 26
- Swordsman's Steel · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
Cards behind the value
8 of 828 printing finishesLargest contributions to the pack’s average.
| Printing | Snapshot price | Chance in a pack | Adds to average |
|---|---|---|---|
The Mind StoneMSH 0021 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$41.94 · ≈1 in 131 | $41.94 | ≈1 in 131 | $0.32 |
 Mjölnir, Hammer of ThorMSH 0146 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$15.04 · ≈1 in 141 | $15.04 | ≈1 in 141 | $0.11 |
 Shang-Chi, Master of Kung FuMSH 0187 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$10.75 · ≈1 in 153 | $10.75 | ≈1 in 153 | $0.07 |
 The Ten RingsMSH 0251 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$8.84 · ≈1 in 153 | $8.84 | ≈1 in 153 | $0.06 |
 Ultron, Artificial MalevolenceMSH 0252 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$7.90 · ≈1 in 153 | $7.90 | ≈1 in 153 | $0.05 |
 Cosmic CubeMSH 0245 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$6.92 · ≈1 in 141 | $6.92 | ≈1 in 141 | $0.05 |
 King T'Challa // Black Panther, Hope EnduringMSH 0219 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$6.63 · ≈1 in 141 | $6.63 | ≈1 in 141 | $0.05 |
 Thor, God of ThunderMSH 0156 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$6.06 · ≈1 in 141 | $6.06 | ≈1 in 141 | $0.04 |
About this modeldates, coverage, assumptions and the selling scenario
- Model
- MTGJSON 5.3.0+20261017 · Oct 17, 2026
- Singles
- Oct 25, 2026
- Sealed
- Oct 24, 2026
- Simulation
- 1,000,000 packs · xorshift32 + weighted alias draws; without replacement unless allowed
Singles capture/retrieval time is not an upstream price date. Simulated distribution is tied to this price snapshot until rebuilt.
Weighted pack configurations; weighted sequential draws within each sheet.
Within-sheet draws exclude previously drawn printings unless allowDuplicates is true.
Sheets are independent conditional on the selected configuration; physical display collation is unknown.
A foil sheet uses the exact printing’s foil price; special finish labels come from the catalog.
Modeled estimates from MTGJSON; these are not official Wizards odds.
A deterministic sample is an estimate, not a guarantee. Rare expensive outcomes can move the mean substantially; physical pack and box collation may differ.
Price coverage: 828 of 828 modeled printing finishes. Every modeled printing finish has a price in this snapshot.
Card values are not cash proceeds. An illustrative selling scenario keeps 85% of the value of cards priced at $2.00 or more. That gives about $1.49 per pack, or $44.72 for this display. This is a scenario, not a resale guarantee.
MTGJSON MAR.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON MSC.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON MSH.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON PMEI.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON SLD.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON SPE.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON SPM.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026