Pack odds · Marvel's Spider-Man
Play Booster
6 commons · 1 common or source material · 3 uncommons · 1 wildcard of any rarity · 1 rare or mythic rare · 1 foil of any rarity · 1 land
Display $118.04 · $3.93 per pack
Product & contents →Chase pulls in this booster
The priciest card in each treatment, at Oct 25 singles. Rates are for the whole treatment, not this card.
Inside a Play Booster
14 cards and an insert. Published slot breakdown; unpublished rates remain unknown.
6 ·Commons
1–6| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per position | ≈180.0 | per position · ≈180.0 per display | ||
60 printings share this 100%; ≈1.67% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 60 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Common or source material
7| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 in 24 | ≈28.7 | per pack · ≈28.7 per display | |||
60 printings share this 23 in 24; ≈1.6% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 60 in Cards → | |||||
| 1 in 24 | ≈72.1% ≥1≈1.3 | per pack · ≈1.3 per display · ≈72.1% ≥1 | |||
40 printings share this 1 in 24; ≈0.1% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 40 in Cards → | |||||
3 ·Uncommons
8–10| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per position | ≈90.0 | per position · ≈90.0 per display | ||
58 printings share this 100%; ≈1.72% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 58 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Wildcard of any rarity
11| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
216 printings share this 100%; ≈0.46% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 216 in Cards →  The Soul StoneSPM 0066$83.99 Norman Osborn // Green GoblinSPM 0220$18.59 Gwen Stacy // Ghost-SpiderSPM 0202$16.32 Gwen Stacy // Ghost-SpiderSPM 0209$12.12 Norman Osborn // Green GoblinSPM 0039$11.72 Miles Morales // Ultimate Spider-ManSPM 0200$7.95 Miles Morales // Ultimate Spider-ManSPM 0211$7.56 Doctor Octopus, Master PlannerSPM 0228$7.45+208 more → | |||||
1 ·Rare or mythic rare
12| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
98 printings share this 100%; ≈1.02% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 98 in Cards → The Soul StoneSPM 0066$83.99Norman Osborn // Green GoblinSPM 0220$18.59Gwen Stacy // Ghost-SpiderSPM 0202$16.32Gwen Stacy // Ghost-SpiderSPM 0209$12.12Norman Osborn // Green GoblinSPM 0039$11.72Miles Morales // Ultimate Spider-ManSPM 0200$7.95Miles Morales // Ultimate Spider-ManSPM 0211$7.56Doctor Octopus, Master PlannerSPM 0228$7.45+90 more → | |||||
1 ·foil of any rarity
13| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
216 printings share this 100%; ≈0.46% each if equally weighted · Foil prices, Oct 25Open all 216 in Cards → The Soul StoneSPM 0066$120.20Gwen Stacy // Ghost-SpiderSPM 0202$32.23Norman Osborn // Green GoblinSPM 0220$31.32Gwen Stacy // Ghost-SpiderSPM 0209$22.43Norman Osborn // Green GoblinSPM 0039$16.15Miles Morales // Ultimate Spider-ManSPM 0211$11.74Miles Morales // Ultimate Spider-ManSPM 0200$10.38Doctor Octopus, Master PlannerSPM 0228$9.02+208 more → | |||||
1 ·Land
14| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | per pack | ≈24.0 | per pack · ≈24.0 per display | ||
15 printings share this 80%; ≈5.33% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 15 in Cards → | |||||
| 20% | per pack | ≈6.0 | per pack · ≈6.0 per display | ||
15 printings share this 20%; ≈1.33% each if equally weighted · Foil prices, Oct 25Open all 15 in Cards → | |||||
+ · Insert
One token or helper card; not included in the 14 game cards.
Official rates: Wizards · Collecting Marvel's Spider-Man ↗ checked Oct 17, 2026
About these numberscategory rates, bounds, per display, per position, what isn’t a pull
A category rate is the chance of any card in that category, not one particular card. Cards within a category are not necessarily equally likely.
“Under 1%” is an upper bound, not an exact rate. Rounded published percentages may not sum to 100%.
Per-display counts are the expected number of hits: rate × packs, multiplied by positions only for a per-position rate. The secondary ≥1 chance assumes independent packs: 1 − (1 − p)30. It is omitted at 99% and above and where correlations prevent an estimate.
Per position describes one of several positions in the pack. “Everything else” fills that slot when the listed special category does not appear; a derived remainder uses the published rounded rates.
Not every card is a booster pull. Fixed decks, promos and product-exclusive cards have separate contents. Check a printing’s card page for its exact sources.
What a pack is worth
Market: $5.17 · Oct 24, 2026MSRP: $6.99 · Oct 17, 2026
- Average
- $5.26
- card value per pack
- Median
- $3.35
- half of modeled packs fall below this
- Beats market price
- 21.6%
- against $5.17 per pack
- Share of 1,000,000 modeled packs
- Beats $5.17 market price · 21.6%
- Median $3.35
Where the value comes from
Contributions to the average of $5.26.
By treatment family
Value by slotExpand the model’s slot breakdown
Model slots
Boxes, bundles & included extras
Boosters and verified fixed contents are counted once.
| Product | Contents | Modeled | Market | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundle9 × Play Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | 9 × Play Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | $56.85 | $66.02 | -14% |
| Bundle Case54 × Play Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | 54 × Play Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | $341.08 | $324.60 | +5% |
| Gift Bundle9 × Play Booster + 1 × Collector Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | 9 × Play Booster + 1 × Collector Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | ≥ $86.10 | $93.01 | — |
| Gift Bundle Case54 × Play Booster + 6 × Collector Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | 54 × Play Booster + 6 × Collector Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | ≥ $516.59 | Not verified | — |
| Play Booster Box30 × Play Booster | 30 × Play Booster | $157.79 | $118.04 | +34% |
| Play Booster Box Case180 × Play Booster | 180 × Play Booster | $946.72 | $680.48 | +39% |
| Prerelease Pack1 × Prerelease promo + 6 × Play Booster | 1 × Prerelease promo + 6 × Play Booster | $36.93 | $37.25 | -1% |
| Prerelease Pack Case15 × Prerelease promo + 90 × Play Booster | 15 × Prerelease promo + 90 × Play Booster | $553.90 | $354.26 | +56% |
| Scene Box3 × Play Booster + 1 × 6 fixed cards | 3 × Play Booster + 1 × 6 fixed cards | $34.26 | $36.40 | -6% |
| Scene Box Case12 × Play Booster + 1 × 24 fixed cards | 12 × Play Booster + 1 × 24 fixed cards | $137.03 | $97.73 | +40% |
| Marvels Spider-Man Web-Slingers Kit6 × Play Booster + 1 × 46 fixed cards | 6 × Play Booster + 1 × 46 fixed cards | $52.44 | $51.51 | +2% |
Bonus packs & insertsIncluded separately in the product totals above
Marvel's Spider-Man Collector Booster
15 cards · average at least $25.78 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- The Soul Stone · Foil · ≈1 in 995
- Eddie Brock // Venom, Lethal Protector · Foil · ≈1 in 128
- The Soul Stone · Foil · ≈1 in 136
- Peter Parker // Amazing Spider-Man · Foil · ≈1 in 128
- Parallel Lives · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 53
- Miles Morales // Ultimate Spider-Man · Foil · ≈1 in 128
- Reanimate · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 53
- Opposition Agent · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 53
Marvel's Spider-Man Prerelease Promo Pack
1 cards · average $5.37 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- The Soul Stone · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Spectacular Spider-Man · Foil · ≈1 in 61
- Multiversal Passage · Foil · ≈1 in 61
- Gwenom, Remorseless · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Electro, Assaulting Battery · Foil · ≈1 in 61
- Norman Osborn // Green Goblin · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Cosmic Spider-Man · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Impostor Syndrome · Foil · ≈1 in 121
Cards behind the value
8 of 502 printing finishesLargest contributions to the pack’s average.
| Printing | Snapshot price | Chance in a pack | Adds to average |
|---|---|---|---|
The Soul StoneSPM 0066 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$83.99 · ≈1 in 102 | $83.99 | ≈1 in 102 | $0.83 |
 Common CrookSPM 0053 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$0.93 · ≈1 in 7.9 | $0.93 | ≈1 in 7.9 | $0.12 |
 Multiversal PassageSPM 0180 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$5.91 · ≈1 in 51 | $5.91 | ≈1 in 51 | $0.12 |
Norman Osborn // Green GoblinSPM 0039 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$11.72 · ≈1 in 102 | $11.72 | ≈1 in 102 | $0.12 |
The Soul StoneSPM 0066 · Regular printing · Foil$120.20 · ≈1 in 1,360 | $120.20 | ≈1 in 1,360 | $0.09 |
 Spectacular Spider-ManSPM 0014 · Borderless · Nonfoil$4.22 · ≈1 in 51 | $4.22 | ≈1 in 51 | $0.08 |
 Electro, Assaulting BatterySPM 0076 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$3.62 · ≈1 in 51 | $3.62 | ≈1 in 51 | $0.07 |
 Impostor SyndromeSPM 0034 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$6.41 · ≈1 in 102 | $6.41 | ≈1 in 102 | $0.06 |
About this modeldates, coverage, assumptions and the selling scenario
- Model
- MTGJSON 5.3.0+20261017 · Oct 17, 2026
- Singles
- Oct 25, 2026
- Sealed
- Oct 24, 2026
- Simulation
- 1,000,000 packs · xorshift32 + weighted alias draws; without replacement unless allowed
Singles capture/retrieval time is not an upstream price date. Simulated distribution is tied to this price snapshot until rebuilt.
Weighted pack configurations; weighted sequential draws within each sheet.
Within-sheet draws exclude previously drawn printings unless allowDuplicates is true.
Sheets are independent conditional on the selected configuration; physical display collation is unknown.
A foil sheet uses the exact printing’s foil price; special finish labels come from the catalog.
Modeled estimates from MTGJSON; these are not official Wizards odds.
A deterministic sample is an estimate, not a guarantee. Rare expensive outcomes can move the mean substantially; physical pack and box collation may differ.
Price coverage: 502 of 502 modeled printing finishes. Every modeled printing finish has a price in this snapshot.
Card values are not cash proceeds. An illustrative selling scenario keeps 85% of the value of cards priced at $2.00 or more. That gives about $1.84 per pack, or $55.32 for this display. This is a scenario, not a resale guarantee.
MTGJSON LMAR.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON MAR.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON PMEI.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON PSPM.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON SLD.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON SPE.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026 · MTGJSON SPM.json ↗ Oct 17, 2026