Pack odds · Secrets of Strixhaven
Play Booster
5 commons · 1 common or bonus-sheet replacement · 3 uncommons · 1 wildcard of any rarity · 1 rare or mythic rare · 1 mystical archive · 1 foil of any rarity · 1 land
Display $137.34 · $4.58 per pack
Product & contents →Chase pulls in this booster
The priciest card in each treatment, at Oct 25 singles. Rates are for the whole treatment, not this card.
2.9% per pack · Mystical Archive · Mystical Archive mythic
1.8182% per pack · Common or bonus-sheet replacement · Special Guests
100% per pack · Wildcard of any rarity · Wildcard of any rarity
100% per pack · Wildcard of any rarity · Wildcard of any rarity
Inside a Play Booster
14 cards and an insert. Published slot breakdown; unpublished rates remain unknown.
5 ·Commons
1–5| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per position | ≈150.0 | per position · ≈150.0 per display | ||
81 printings share this 100%; ≈1.23% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 81 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Common or bonus-sheet replacement
6One in 55 packs has a Special Guest in place of this common.
| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.1818% | per pack | ≈29.5 | per pack · ≈29.5 per display | ||
81 printings share this 98.1818%; ≈1.21% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 81 in Cards → | |||||
| 1.8182% | per pack | ≈42.3% ≥1≈0.5 | per pack · ≈0.5 per display · ≈42.3% ≥1 | ||
10 printings share this 1.8182%; ≈0.18% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 10 in Cards → | |||||
3 ·Uncommons
7–9| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per position | ≈90.0 | per position · ≈90.0 per display | ||
100 printings share this 100%; ≈1% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 100 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Wildcard of any rarity
10Main-set common, uncommon, rare or mythic; Booster Fun printings can occur.
| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
285 printings share this 100%; ≈0.35% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 285 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Rare or mythic rare
11| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
104 printings share this 100%; ≈0.96% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 104 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Mystical Archive
12English/non-Japanese Play Booster configuration. Japanese-language packs have different artwork shares.
| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.5% | per pack | ≈26.3 | per pack · ≈26.3 per display | ||
25 printings share this 87.5%; ≈3.5% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 25 in Cards → | |||||
| 9.6% | per pack | ≈95.2% ≥1≈2.9 | per pack · ≈2.9 per display · ≈95.2% ≥1 | ||
25 printings share this 9.6%; ≈0.38% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 25 in Cards → | |||||
| 2.9% | per pack | ≈58.6% ≥1≈0.9 | per pack · ≈0.9 per display · ≈58.6% ≥1 | ||
15 printings share this 2.9%; ≈0.19% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 15 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·foil of any rarity
13Includes eligible main-set and bonus printings shown below. Special Guests are not in this foil slot.
| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈30.0 | per pack · ≈30.0 per display | ||
350 printings share this 100%; ≈0.29% each if equally weighted · Foil prices, Oct 25Open all 350 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Land
14Default-frame basics total 33.4%, spellcraft basics 16.6%, common dual lands 50%, combining published rounded finish shares.
| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 30 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | per pack | ≈24.0 | per pack · ≈24.0 per display | ||
20 printings share this 80%; ≈4% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 20 in Cards → | |||||
| 20% | per pack | ≈6.0 | per pack · ≈6.0 per display | ||
20 printings share this 20%; ≈1% each if equally weighted · Foil prices, Oct 25Open all 20 in Cards → | |||||
+ · Insert
Nonfoil punch-out counters or double-sided token.
Official rates: Wizards · Collecting Secrets of Strixhaven ↗ checked Oct 12, 2026
About these numberscategory rates, bounds, per display, per position, what isn’t a pull
A category rate is the chance of any card in that category, not one particular card. Cards within a category are not necessarily equally likely.
“Under 1%” is an upper bound, not an exact rate. Rounded published percentages may not sum to 100%.
Per-display counts are the expected number of hits: rate × packs, multiplied by positions only for a per-position rate. The secondary ≥1 chance assumes independent packs: 1 − (1 − p)30. It is omitted at 99% and above and where correlations prevent an estimate.
Per position describes one of several positions in the pack. “Everything else” fills that slot when the listed special category does not appear; a derived remainder uses the published rounded rates.
Not every card is a booster pull. Fixed decks, promos and product-exclusive cards have separate contents. Check a printing’s card page for its exact sources.
What a pack is worth
Market: $4.79 · Oct 24, 2026MSRP: $5.49 · Oct 12, 2026
- Average
- $5.40
- card value per pack
- Median
- $3.81
- half of modeled packs fall below this
- Beats market price
- 35.5%
- against $4.79 per pack
- Share of 1,000,000 modeled packs
- Beats $4.79 market price · 35.5%
- Median $3.81
Where the value comes from
Contributions to the average of $5.40.
By treatment family
Value by slotExpand the model’s slot breakdown
Model slots
Boxes, bundles & included extras
Boosters and verified fixed contents are counted once.
| Product | Contents | Modeled | Market | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundle9 × Play Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | 9 × Play Booster + 1 × 31 fixed cards | $54.77 | $45.96 | +19% |
| Bundle Case54 × Play Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | 54 × Play Booster + 1 × 186 fixed cards | $328.63 | $297.21 | +11% |
| Codex Bundle1 × Codex Booster + 6 × Play Booster + 2 × Collector Booster + 1 × 20 fixed cards | 1 × Codex Booster + 6 × Play Booster + 2 × Collector Booster + 1 × 20 fixed cards | $113.49 | $132.35 | -14% |
| Codex Bundle Case6 × Codex Booster + 36 × Play Booster + 12 × Collector Booster + 1 × 120 fixed cards | 6 × Codex Booster + 36 × Play Booster + 12 × Collector Booster + 1 × 120 fixed cards | $680.92 | $858.98 | -21% |
| Draft Night12 × Play Booster + 1 × Collector Booster + 1 × 90 fixed cards | 12 × Play Booster + 1 × Collector Booster + 1 × 90 fixed cards | $111.78 | $87.27 | +28% |
| Draft Night Case72 × Play Booster + 6 × Collector Booster + 1 × 540 fixed cards | 72 × Play Booster + 6 × Collector Booster + 1 × 540 fixed cards | $670.66 | $474.22 | +41% |
| Play Booster Box30 × Play Booster | 30 × Play Booster | $162.11 | $137.34 | +18% |
| Play Booster Box Case180 × Play Booster | 180 × Play Booster | $972.64 | $854.04 | +14% |
| Play Pack3 × Play Booster + 1 × 1 fixed cards | 3 × Play Booster + 1 × 1 fixed cards | $16.55 | $28.32 | -42% |
| Prerelease Pack Lorehold1 × Lorehold Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | 1 × Lorehold Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | $32.12 | $31.88 | +1% |
| Prerelease Pack Prismari1 × Prismari Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | 1 × Prismari Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | $32.22 | $36.78 | -12% |
| Prerelease Pack Quandrix1 × Quandrix Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | 1 × Quandrix Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | $31.87 | $33.63 | -5% |
| Prerelease Pack Set of 51 × Silverquill Seeded Pack + 25 × Play Booster + 1 × Witherbloom Seeded Pack + 1 × Quandrix Seeded Pack + 1 × Lorehold Seeded Pack + 1 × Prismari Seeded Pack | 1 × Silverquill Seeded Pack + 25 × Play Booster + 1 × Witherbloom Seeded Pack + 1 × Quandrix Seeded Pack + 1 × Lorehold Seeded Pack + 1 × Prismari Seeded Pack | $160.97 | $166.39 | -3% |
| Prerelease Pack Silverquill1 × Silverquill Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | 1 × Silverquill Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | $32.30 | $40.86 | -21% |
| Prerelease Pack Witherbloom1 × Witherbloom Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | 1 × Witherbloom Seeded Pack + 5 × Play Booster | $32.46 | $48.65 | -33% |
Bonus packs & insertsIncluded separately in the product totals above
Codex Booster
2 cards · average $16.62 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- Sol Ring · Foil · ≈1 in 3
- Talisman of Creativity · Foil · ≈1 in 3
- Talisman of Hierarchy · Foil · ≈1 in 3
- Talisman of Conviction · Foil · ≈1 in 3
- Talisman of Resilience · Foil · ≈1 in 3
- Talisman of Curiosity · Foil · ≈1 in 3
Secrets of Strixhaven Collector Booster
15 cards · average $30.19 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- Force of Will · Silver scroll foil · ≈1 in 655
- Vampiric Tutor · Silver scroll foil · ≈1 in 655
- Force of Will · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 195
- Jeska's Will · Silver scroll foil · ≈1 in 655
- Vampiric Tutor · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 195
- Cyclonic Rift · Silver scroll foil · ≈1 in 655
- Emeritus of Ideation // Ancestral Recall · Double rainbow foil · ≈1 in 6,000
- Force of Will · Foil · ≈1 in 195
Lorehold Seeded Pack
15 cards · average $5.11 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- Erode · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 23
- Improvisation Capstone · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 46
- Flashback · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 23
- Sundown Pass · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 23
- Erode · Foil · ≈1 in 70
- Tablet of Discovery · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 9
- Emeritus of Woe // Demonic Tutor · Foil · ≈1 in 140
- Restoration Seminar · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 46
Prismari Seeded Pack
15 cards · average $5.20 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- Flow State · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 9
- Improvisation Capstone · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
- Flashback · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 26
- Erode · Foil · ≈1 in 70
- Emeritus of Ideation // Ancestral Recall · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 51
- Tablet of Discovery · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 9
- Stormcarved Coast · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 26
- Emeritus of Woe // Demonic Tutor · Foil · ≈1 in 140
Quandrix Seeded Pack
15 cards · average $4.85 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- Flow State · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 9
- Germination Practicum · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 49
- Emeritus of Ideation // Ancestral Recall · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 49
- Erode · Foil · ≈1 in 70
- Emeritus of Woe // Demonic Tutor · Foil · ≈1 in 140
- Terramorphic Expanse · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 3.8
- Studious First-Year // Rampant Growth · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 3.8
- Improvisation Capstone · Foil · ≈1 in 140
Silverquill Seeded Pack
15 cards · average $5.28 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- Erode · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 24
- Emeritus of Woe // Demonic Tutor · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 48
- Wander Off · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 3.8
- Erode · Foil · ≈1 in 70
- Shattered Sanctum · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 24
- Decorum Dissertation · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 48
- Emeritus of Woe // Demonic Tutor · Foil · ≈1 in 140
- Scheming Silvertongue // Sign in Blood · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 24
Witherbloom Seeded Pack
15 cards · average $5.44 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Play Booster.
- Emeritus of Woe // Demonic Tutor · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 49
- Wander Off · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 3.8
- Germination Practicum · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 49
- Cauldron of Essence · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 24
- Deathcap Glade · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 24
- Erode · Foil · ≈1 in 70
- Professor Dellian Fel · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 49
- Decorum Dissertation · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 49
Cards behind the value
8 of 750 printing finishesLargest contributions to the pack’s average.
| Printing | Snapshot price | Chance in a pack | Adds to average |
|---|---|---|---|
 ErodeSOS 0015 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$8.56 · ≈1 in 57 | $8.56 | ≈1 in 57 | $0.15 |
Force of WillSOA 0019 · Mystical Archive · Borderless · Nonfoil$64.58 · ≈1 in 515 | $64.58 | ≈1 in 515 | $0.13 |
 Vampiric TutorSOA 0035 · Mystical Archive · Borderless · Nonfoil$55.48 · ≈1 in 515 | $55.48 | ≈1 in 515 | $0.11 |
Emeritus of Woe // Demonic TutorSOS 0080 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$12.56 · ≈1 in 123 | $12.56 | ≈1 in 123 | $0.10 |
 Jeska's WillSOA 0044 · Mystical Archive · Borderless · Nonfoil$45.72 · ≈1 in 515 | $45.72 | ≈1 in 515 | $0.09 |
 Wander OffSOS 0104 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$0.96 · ≈1 in 13 | $0.96 | ≈1 in 13 | $0.08 |
 Improvisation CapstoneSOS 0120 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$10.03 · ≈1 in 143 | $10.03 | ≈1 in 143 | $0.07 |
 Cyclonic RiftSOA 0014 · Mystical Archive · Borderless · Nonfoil$34.48 · ≈1 in 515 | $34.48 | ≈1 in 515 | $0.07 |
About this modeldates, coverage, assumptions and the selling scenario
- Model
- MTGJSON 5.3.0+20261012 · Oct 12, 2026
- Singles
- Oct 25, 2026
- Sealed
- Oct 24, 2026
- Simulation
- 1,000,000 packs · xorshift32 + weighted alias draws; without replacement unless allowed
Singles capture/retrieval time is not an upstream price date. Simulated distribution is tied to this price snapshot until rebuilt.
Weighted pack configurations; weighted sequential draws within each sheet.
Within-sheet draws exclude previously drawn printings unless allowDuplicates is true.
Sheets are independent conditional on the selected configuration; physical display collation is unknown.
A foil sheet uses the exact printing’s foil price; special finish labels come from the catalog.
Modeled estimates from MTGJSON; these are not official Wizards odds.
A deterministic sample is an estimate, not a guarantee. Rare expensive outcomes can move the mean substantially; physical pack and box collation may differ.
Price coverage: 750 of 750 modeled printing finishes. Every modeled printing finish has a price in this snapshot.
Card values are not cash proceeds. An illustrative selling scenario keeps 85% of the value of cards priced at $2.00 or more. That gives about $1.83 per pack, or $54.99 for this display. This is a scenario, not a resale guarantee.
MTGJSON SOS.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON SOC.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON SOA.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON SPG.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PBIG.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PBLB.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PDFT.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PDSK.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PECL.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PEOE.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PFDN.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PMH3.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PMID.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PMKM.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON POTJ.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PSOS.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PSTX.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PTDM.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON BLB.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON DSK.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON EOE.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON FDN.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON MKM.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON TDM.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON ECL.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON LCI.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PMEI.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON SLD.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026