Pack odds · The Lost Caverns of Ixalan
Draft Booster
8 commons · 1 common or foil · 3 uncommons · 1 double-faced common or uncommon · 1 rare or mythic rare · 1 land
Display $263.61 · $7.32 per pack
Product & contents →Chase pulls in this booster
The priciest card in each treatment, at Oct 25 singles. Rates are for the whole treatment, not this card.
Inside a Draft Booster
15 cards and an insert. Published slot breakdown; unpublished rates remain unknown.
8 ·Commons
1–8| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 36 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per position | ≈288.0 | per position · ≈288.0 per display | ||
96 printings share this 100%; ≈1.04% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 96 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Common or foil
9Wizards publishes a foil replacing one common in 33% of packs; 67% is the remainder of that rounded rate.
| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 36 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | per pack | ≈24.1 | per pack · ≈24.1 per display | ||
96 printings share this 67%; ≈0.7% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 96 in Cards → | |||||
| 33% | per pack | ≈11.9 | per pack · ≈11.9 per display | ||
352 printings share this 33%; ≈0.09% each if equally weighted · Foil prices, Oct 25Open all 352 in Cards →  Cavern of SoulsLCI 0345$64.65 Cavern of SoulsLCI 0269$53.82 Roaming ThroneLCI 0258$53.36 Roaming ThroneLCI 0344$50.09 Ghalta, Stampede TyrantLCI 0326$47.39 Bloodletter of AclazotzLCI 0336$41.50 Bloodletter of AclazotzLCI 0092$40.41 Ojer Taq, Deepest Foundation // Temple of CivilizationLCI 0314$40.12+344 more → | |||||
3 ·Uncommons
10–12| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 36 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per position | ≈108.0 | per position · ≈108.0 per display | ||
94 printings share this 100%; ≈1.06% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 94 in Cards → | |||||
1 ·Double-faced common or uncommon
13| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 36 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈36.0 | per pack · ≈36.0 per display | ||
17 printings share this 100%; ≈5.88% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 17 in Cards →  Tithing Blade // Consuming SepulcherLCI 0128$0.43 Dowsing Device // Geode GrottoLCI 0146$0.27 Twists and Turns // Mycoid MazeLCI 0217$0.26 Saheeli's Lattice // Mastercraft RaptorLCI 0164$0.25 Lodestone Needle // Guidestone CompassLCI 0062$0.24 Master's Guide-Mural // Master's ManufactoryLCI 0233$0.23 Sunbird Standard // Sunbird EffigyLCI 0262$0.21 Visage of Dread // Dread OsseosaurLCI 0129$0.21+9 more → | |||||
1 ·Rare or mythic rare
14| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 36 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | per pack | ≈36.0 | per pack · ≈36.0 per display | ||
133 printings share this 100%; ≈0.75% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 133 in Cards → Cavern of SoulsLCI 0345$52.53Cavern of SoulsLCI 0269$50.04Roaming ThroneLCI 0344$47.81Roaming ThroneLCI 0258$47.58Ghalta, Stampede TyrantLCI 0326$38.83Bloodletter of AclazotzLCI 0092$37.61Bloodletter of AclazotzLCI 0336$34.53Ojer Taq, Deepest Foundation // Temple of CivilizationLCI 0314$33.10+125 more → | |||||
1 ·Land
15| Card pool | Unit | Per display · 36 packs | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | per pack | ≈25.2 | per pack · ≈25.2 per display | ||
7 printings share this 70%; ≈10% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 7 in Cards → | |||||
| 30% | per pack | ≈10.8 | per pack · ≈10.8 per display | ||
5 printings share this 30%; ≈6% each if equally weighted · Nonfoil prices, Oct 25Open all 5 in Cards → | |||||
+ · Insert
Token or advertisement. A display includes a Treasure Trove Box Topper, counted separately from loose packs.
Official rates: Wizards · Collecting The Lost Caverns of Ixalan ↗ checked Oct 12, 2026
About these numberscategory rates, bounds, per display, per position, what isn’t a pull
A category rate is the chance of any card in that category, not one particular card. Cards within a category are not necessarily equally likely.
“Under 1%” is an upper bound, not an exact rate. Rounded published percentages may not sum to 100%.
Per-display counts are the expected number of hits: rate × packs, multiplied by positions only for a per-position rate. The secondary ≥1 chance assumes independent packs: 1 − (1 − p)36. It is omitted at 99% and above and where correlations prevent an estimate.
Per position describes one of several positions in the pack. “Everything else” fills that slot when the listed special category does not appear; a derived remainder uses the published rounded rates.
Not every card is a booster pull. Fixed decks, promos and product-exclusive cards have separate contents. Check a printing’s card page for its exact sources.
What a pack is worth
Market: $7.35 · Oct 24, 2026MSRP: Not published / verified
- Average
- $6.87
- card value per pack
- Median
- $4.22
- half of modeled packs fall below this
- Beats market price
- 18.1%
- against $7.35 per pack
- Share of 1,000,000 modeled packs
- Beats $7.35 market price · 18.1%
- Median $4.22
Where the value comes from
Contributions to the average of $6.87.
By treatment family
Value by slotExpand the model’s slot breakdown
Model slots
Boxes, bundles & included extras
Boosters and verified fixed contents are counted once.
| Product | Contents | Modeled | Market | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Box36 × Draft Booster + 1 × Jurassic World Box Topper | 36 × Draft Booster + 1 × Jurassic World Box Topper | $267.03 | $263.61 | +1% |
| Draft Booster Box Case216 × Draft Booster + 6 × Jurassic World Box Topper | 216 × Draft Booster + 6 × Jurassic World Box Topper | $1,602.17 | $1,522.70 | +5% |
| Prerelease Pack1 × prerelease + 6 × Draft Booster | 1 × prerelease + 6 × Draft Booster | $45.84 | $55.71 | -18% |
| Non-Foil Box Topper Pack1 × Jurassic World Box Topper | 1 × Jurassic World Box Topper | $19.86 | $26.64 | -25% |
Bonus packs & insertsIncluded separately in the product totals above
Jurassic World Box Topper
1 cards · average $19.86 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Draft Booster.
- Amulet of Vigor · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 20
- Chromatic Orrery · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 20
- Chimil, the Inner Sun · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 20
- Wedding Ring · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 20
- Chalice of the Void · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 20
- Coat of Arms · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 20
- Strionic Resonator · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 20
- Thought Vessel · Nonfoil · ≈1 in 20
The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Prerelease Promo Pack
1 cards · average $4.64 per bonus pack. Modeled chances below apply to that bonus pack, not to a loose Draft Booster.
- Roaming Throne · Foil · ≈1 in 61
- Cavern of Souls · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Ghalta, Stampede Tyrant · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Bloodletter of Aclazotz · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Chimil, the Inner Sun · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Bonehoard Dracosaur · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- The Skullspore Nexus · Foil · ≈1 in 121
- Anim Pakal, Thousandth Moon · Foil · ≈1 in 61
Cards behind the value
8 of 704 printing finishesLargest contributions to the pack’s average.
| Printing | Snapshot price | Chance in a pack | Adds to average |
|---|---|---|---|
Roaming ThroneLCI 0258 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$47.58 · ≈1 in 113 | $47.58 | ≈1 in 113 | $0.42 |
Cavern of SoulsLCI 0269 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$50.04 · ≈1 in 199 | $50.04 | ≈1 in 199 | $0.25 |
Roaming ThroneLCI 0344 · Borderless · Nonfoil$47.81 · ≈1 in 225 | $47.81 | ≈1 in 225 | $0.21 |
Bloodletter of AclazotzLCI 0092 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$37.61 · ≈1 in 199 | $37.61 | ≈1 in 199 | $0.19 |
 Ghalta, Stampede TyrantLCI 0185 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$31.08 · ≈1 in 199 | $31.08 | ≈1 in 199 | $0.16 |
 SpelunkingLCI 0213 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$3.82 · ≈1 in 27 | $3.82 | ≈1 in 27 | $0.14 |
 Ojer Taq, Deepest Foundation // Temple of CivilizationLCI 0026 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$28.54 · ≈1 in 199 | $28.54 | ≈1 in 199 | $0.14 |
 Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of PowerLCI 0158 · Regular printing · Nonfoil$24.82 · ≈1 in 199 | $24.82 | ≈1 in 199 | $0.12 |
About this modeldates, coverage, assumptions and the selling scenario
- Model
- MTGJSON 5.3.0+20261012 · Oct 12, 2026
- Singles
- Oct 25, 2026
- Sealed
- Oct 24, 2026
- Simulation
- 1,000,000 packs · xorshift32 + weighted alias draws; without replacement unless allowed
Singles capture/retrieval time is not an upstream price date. Simulated distribution is tied to this price snapshot until rebuilt.
Weighted pack configurations; weighted sequential draws within each sheet.
Color balancing is modeled as one weighted mono-color common of each color, then remaining weighted draws without replacement. MTGJSON flags balancing but does not specify factory collation; this is an approximation.
Within-sheet draws exclude previously drawn printings unless allowDuplicates is true.
Sheets are independent conditional on the selected configuration; physical display collation is unknown.
A foil sheet uses the exact printing’s foil price; special finish labels come from the catalog.
Modeled estimates from MTGJSON; these are not official Wizards odds.
A deterministic sample is an estimate, not a guarantee. Rare expensive outcomes can move the mean substantially; physical pack and box collation may differ.
Price coverage: 704 of 704 modeled printing finishes. Every modeled printing finish has a price in this snapshot.
Card values are not cash proceeds. An illustrative selling scenario keeps 85% of the value of cards priced at $2.00 or more. That gives about $2.83 per pack, or $118.81 for this display. This is a scenario, not a resale guarantee.
MTGJSON LCI.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON LCC.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON REX.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON SPG.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PLCI.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PBRO.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PCLB.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PDMU.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PMAT.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PMOM.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PONE.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PSTX.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PWOE.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PZNR.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON PLST.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026 · MTGJSON SLD.json ↗ Oct 12, 2026