MagicField guides
‹ Cards
157 of 444

Chance-Met Elves LTR 0157 · common

Chance-Met Elves · {2}{G} · Creature — Elf Warrior · Whenever you scry, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature. This ability triggers only once each turn. · Power / toughness: 3/2 · "It is said, 'Go not to the Elves for counsel, for they will say both no and yes.'" —Frodo

Chance-Met Elves · {2}{G} · Creature — Elf Warrior · Whenever you scry, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature. This ability triggers only once each turn. · Power / toughness: 3/2 · "It is said, 'Go not to the Elves for counsel, for they will say both no and yes.'" —Frodo

Price
from $0.142 printings
Win rate
50.7% GIH 25,424 instances · Premier Draft
Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 12,885 wins in 25,424 card-in-hand instances.

20,441 distinct games · 6,441 distinct drafts · games recorded Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023.

17Lands file dated Aug 30, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Play

Repeated scry events grow this creature, but only once each turn. Scrying two cards is one event, not two.

More

One-pick Draft
Repeated scry events grow this creature, but only once each turn. Scrying two cards is one event, not two.

Draft data

50.7%when drawn (GIH)

−4.9 pp vs 55.6% average · 25,424 instances

Premier Draft · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · average from 980,485 games

#223 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 6.9 on average (326,128 packs).

29 of 38 green cards · 17 of 19 green common cards.

Taken at pick10.329,952 picks
Makes the deck33.2%29,952 picks with known usage
When played49.8%49,128.1 matchesBenched 54.3%
95,266.9 matches
When drawn50.7%25,424 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 50.8% · 10,057 instances
● Drawn later 50.6% · 15,367 instances

In hand 50.7% · 25,424 instances
Unseen in deck 48.7% · 32,738 instances
+1.9 percentage points when drawn

Compared with green cards

Win rate when drawn50.7%25,424 instances29 of 38
Opening hand50.8%10,057 instances23 of 38
Drawn later50.6%15,367 instances30 of 38
In the deck49.6%58,550 instances30 of 38
Without seeing it48.7%32,738 instances34 of 38
Improvement when drawn+1.9 pp25,424 instances / 32,738 instances21 of 38
When benched54.3%95,266.9 matches33 of 38
Makes the deck33.2%29,952 picks with known usage23 of 38
Pick (last seen)6.9326,128 packs26 of 38
Taken at10.329,952 picks29 of 38

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Black–Green BG52.6%1,543 instancesGreen–White GW51.9%878 instancesRed–Green RG51.6%974 instancesBlue–Green UG51.5%12,136 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (50.7% · 25,424 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Best with

Adjusted associations, ranked by confidence.

Lothlórien Lookout+3.5 pp24,432 games with both in the deck · 8,011 both drawn
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 11% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023

Collect

2 printingsScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LTR 0157 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set · jumpstart-v2$0.14
FoilCollector Booster · draft · set$0.25

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 675 packs (0.15%) · 5.2% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 11 packs (9.43%) · 97.2% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 225 packs (0.44%) · 12.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 23 packs (4.26%) · 72.9% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 25 packs (3.95%) · 38.4% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart-v2 · Modeled · About 1 in 5 packs (20.00%) · 98.2% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommons100% per positionDraft and Set Booster common printings
Draft BoosterCommon or foil67%Draft and Set Booster common printings
Draft BoosterCommon or foil33%Main set and booster-fun foils
Set BoosterTen other Magic cards100%Other Draft and Set Booster printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed traditional foil100%Main set and booster-fun foils
Collector BoosterFoil commons100% per positionMain set · common
Collector BoosterFoil common or rare Sol Ring treatmentRegular cards in this group; no separate share publishedMain set · common

Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR ↗ · Sep 22, 2023

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Modern · Legacy · Pauper · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Irvin Rodriguez, LTR 157 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR · Sep 22, 2023
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗