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Unfortunate Accident OTJ 0111 · uncommon

Unfortunate Accident · {B} · Instant · Spree (Choose one or more additional costs.) + {2}{B} — Destroy target creature. + {1} — Create a 1/1 red Mercenary creature token with "{T}: Target creature you control gets +1/+0 until end of turn. Activate only as a sorcery." · "Looks like you've got a train to catch." —Laughing Jasper Flint

Unfortunate Accident · {B} · Instant · Spree (Choose one or more additional costs.) + {2}{B} — Destroy target creature. + {1} — Create a 1/1 red Mercenary creature token with "{T}: Target creature you control gets +1/+0 until end of turn. Activate only as a sorcery." · "Looks like you've got a train to catch." —Laughing Jasper Flint

Price
from $0.071 printing
Win rate
56.9% GIH 58,560 instances · Premier Draft
Apr 16–May 27, 2024 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 33,332 wins in 58,560 card-in-hand instances.

55,693 distinct games · 19,422 distinct drafts · games recorded Apr 16–May 27, 2024.

17Lands file dated May 30, 2024 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

56.9%when drawn (GIH)

+2.8 pp vs 54.1% average · 58,560 instances

Premier Draft · Apr 16–May 27, 2024 · average from 1,172,393 games

#89 of 347 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 3.1 on average (77,982 packs).

13 of 49 black cards · 3 of 16 black uncommon cards.

Taken at pick3.725,041 picks
Makes the deck86.3%25,041 picks with known usage
When played54.5%116,608.3 matchesBenched 54.0%
11,896.7 matches
When drawn56.9%58,560 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Apr 16–May 27, 2024. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 53.6% · 22,691 instances
● Drawn later 59.0% · 35,869 instances

In hand 56.9% · 58,560 instances
Unseen in deck 52.5% · 77,536 instances
+4.4 percentage points when drawn

Compared with black cards

Win rate when drawn56.9%58,560 instances13 of 49
Opening hand53.6%22,691 instances23 of 48
Drawn later59.0%35,869 instances9 of 48
In the deck54.4%136,562 instances16 of 49
Without seeing it52.5%77,536 instances12 of 49
Improvement when drawn+4.4 pp58,560 instances / 77,536 instances14 of 49
When benched54.0%11,896.7 matches33 of 49
Makes the deck86.3%25,041 picks with known usage11 of 49
Pick (last seen)3.177,982 packs15 of 49
Taken at3.725,041 picks15 of 49

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

White–Black WB60.1%4,647 instancesBlack–Green BG59.5%5,917 instancesBlue–Black UB56.6%5,389 instancesBlack–Red BR55.5%5,082 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (56.9% · 58,560 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Best with

Adjusted associations, ranked by confidence.

Hardbristle Bandit+3.8 pp16,831 games with both in the deck · 3,489 both drawn
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 75% of 347 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Apr 16–May 27, 2024

Collect

1 printingScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

OTJ 0111 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
NonfoilPlay Booster$0.25
FoilCollector Booster · Play Booster$0.07

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 33 packs (3.00%) · 30.6% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 309 packs (0.32%) · 11.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 31 packs (3.25%) · 69.6% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Play BoosterUncommons100% per positionUncommons
Play BoosterWildcard of any rarity100%Wildcard of any rarity
Play BoosterTraditional foil of any rarity100%Traditional foil of any rarity
Collector BoosterTraditional foil uncommons100% per positionTraditional foil uncommons

Wizards · Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction ↗ · Oct 29, 2026

Details & sources

Legal in
Standard · Historic · Timeless · Pioneer · Modern · Legacy · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Josiah "Jo" Cameron, OTJ 111 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Wizards · Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction · Oct 29, 2026
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗