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Hypothesizzle OTP 0048 · uncommon

Hypothesizzle · {3}{U}{R} · Instant · Draw two cards. Then you may discard a nonland card. When you do, Hypothesizzle deals 4 damage to target creature. · Science Outbreak Spreads—Officials Recommend Avoiding Books

Hypothesizzle · {3}{U}{R} · Instant · Draw two cards. Then you may discard a nonland card. When you do, Hypothesizzle deals 4 damage to target creature. · Science Outbreak Spreads—Officials Recommend Avoiding Books

Price
from $0.101 printing
Win rate
53.2% GIH 30,184 instances · Premier Draft
Apr 16–May 27, 2024 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 16,057 wins in 30,184 card-in-hand instances.

29,199 distinct games · 10,823 distinct drafts · games recorded Apr 16–May 27, 2024.

17Lands file dated May 30, 2024 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

53.2%when drawn (GIH)

−0.9 pp vs 54.1% average · 30,184 instances

Premier Draft · Apr 16–May 27, 2024 · average from 1,172,393 games

#229 of 347 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 5.6 on average (126,503 packs).

63 of 82 multicolor cards · 23 of 30 multicolor uncommon cards.

Taken at pick7.620,695 picks
Makes the deck55.9%20,695 picks with known usage
When played51.0%59,671.2 matchesBenched 54.0%
43,623.8 matches
When drawn53.2%30,184 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Apr 16–May 27, 2024. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 50.2% · 11,083 instances
● Drawn later 54.9% · 19,101 instances

In hand 53.2% · 30,184 instances
Unseen in deck 49.2% · 38,940 instances
+4.0 percentage points when drawn

Compared with multicolor cards

Win rate when drawn53.2%30,184 instances63 of 82
Opening hand50.2%11,083 instances62 of 81
Drawn later54.9%19,101 instances59 of 82
In the deck51.0%69,367 instances64 of 82
Without seeing it49.2%38,940 instances61 of 82
Improvement when drawn+4.0 pp30,184 instances / 38,940 instances42 of 82
When benched54.0%43,623.8 matches34 of 82
Makes the deck55.9%20,695 picks with known usage52 of 82
Pick (last seen)5.6126,503 packs67 of 82
Taken at7.620,695 picks63 of 82

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Blue–Red UR53.0%6,406 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (53.2% · 30,184 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Best with

Adjusted associations, ranked by confidence.

Ankle Biter+9.0 pp3,217 games with both in the deck · 662 both drawnNimble Brigand+4.2 pp13,643 games with both in the deck · 3,421 both drawn
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 34% of 347 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Apr 16–May 27, 2024

Collect

1 printingScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

OTP 0048 · Breaking News · BorderlessListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
NonfoilCollector Booster · Play Booster$0.10
FoilCollector Booster · collector-sample$0.14

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 20 packs (5.00%) · 46.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 20 packs (5.00%) · 46.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a collector-sample · Modeled · About 1 in 20 packs (5.00%) · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 30 packs (3.33%) · 70.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Play BoosterBreaking News66.6667%Breaking News uncommon
Collector BoosterNonfoil Breaking News uncommon100%Nonfoil Breaking News uncommon
Collector BoosterTraditional foil Breaking News uncommon100%Traditional foil Breaking News uncommon

Wizards · Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction ↗ · Oct 29, 2026

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Pioneer · Modern · Legacy · Pauper · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Mark A. Nelson, OTP 48 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Blue–Red cards → · Breaking News · Borderless printings →
Sources
Wizards · Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction · Oct 29, 2026
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗