Failed Fording OTJ 0047 · common
Failed Fording · {1}{U} · Instant · Return target nonland permanent to its owner's hand. If you control a Desert, surveil 1. (Look at the top card of your library. You may put it into your graveyard.) · "We should have taken the blasted ferry!" —Hope Hagan, prospector
- Price
- from $0.111 printing
- Win rate
- 53.0% GIH 50,059 instances · Premier Draft
Apr 16–May 27, 2024 · 17Lands
Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 26,521 wins in 50,059 card-in-hand instances.
46,775 distinct games · 16,604 distinct drafts · games recorded Apr 16–May 27, 2024.
17Lands file dated May 30, 2024 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗
Draft data
−1.2 pp vs 54.1% average · 50,059 instances
Premier Draft · Apr 16–May 27, 2024 · average from 1,172,393 games
#238 of 347 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 7.3 on average (381,440 packs).
28 of 51 blue cards · 8 of 15 blue common cards.
153,582.6 matches
Pick and maindeck observations: Apr 16–May 27, 2024. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.
○ Opening hand 49.5% · 18,748 instances
● Drawn later 55.1% · 31,311 instances
In hand 53.0% · 50,059 instances
Unseen in deck 49.3% · 61,604 instances
+3.6 percentage points when drawn
Compared with blue cards
Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.
Best decks for it
no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum
Blue–Black UB54.1%5,847 instancesBlue–Green UG53.7%2,794 instancesBlue–Red UR52.5%4,726 instancesWhite–Blue WU50.8%4,305 instancesEach tick is this card’s all-decks rate (53.0% · 50,059 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.
Best with
Adjusted associations, ranked by confidence.
Geyser Drake+3.2 pp29,264 games with both in the deck · 7,368 both drawnSlickshot Lockpicker+2.8 pp27,021 games with both in the deck · 6,839 both drawnSlick Sequence+4.1 pp10,637 games with both in the deck · 2,830 both drawnHow to read this
Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.
At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.
Where it sits in the set
Above 32% of 347 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.
17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Apr 16–May 27, 2024
Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.
| Finish | Found in | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Nonfoil | Play Booster | $0.11 |
| Foil | Collector Booster · Play Booster | $0.15 |
Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 23 packs (4.40%) · 41.7% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →
Foil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 138 packs (0.72%) · 23.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →
Nonfoil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 13 packs (7.91%) · 94.9% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →
How to pull it
Official rates for the whole category, not this card.
| Booster | Slot | Per pack | Category |
|---|---|---|---|
| Play Booster | Commons | 100% per position | Commons |
| Play Booster | Common or bonus-sheet replacement | 80% | Common |
| Play Booster | Wildcard of any rarity | 100% | Wildcard of any rarity |
| Play Booster | Traditional foil of any rarity | 100% | Traditional foil of any rarity |
| Collector Booster | Traditional foil commons | 100% per position | Traditional foil commons |
Wizards · Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction ↗ · Oct 29, 2026
Details & sources
- Legal in
- Standard · Historic · Timeless · Pioneer · Modern · Legacy · Pauper · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
- Illustration
- José Parodi, OTJ 47 · Scryfall ↗
- More like this
- Regular printing printings →
- Sources
- Wizards · Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction · Oct 29, 2026
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗