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The Watcher in the Water LTR 0075 · mythic

The Watcher in the Water · {3}{U}{U} · Legendary Creature — Kraken · The Watcher in the Water enters tapped with nine stun counters on it. (If a permanent with a stun counter would become untapped, remove one from it instead.)
Whenever you draw a card during an opponent's turn, create a 1/1 blue Tentacle creature token.
Whenever a Tentacle you control dies, untap up to one target Kraken and put a stun counter on up to one target nonland permanent. · Power / toughness: 9/9

The Watcher in the Water · {3}{U}{U} · Legendary Creature — Kraken · The Watcher in the Water enters tapped with nine stun counters on it. (If a permanent with a stun counter would become untapped, remove one from it instead.) Whenever you draw a card during an opponent's turn, create a 1/1 blue Tentacle creature token. Whenever a Tentacle you control dies, untap up to one target Kraken and put a stun counter on up to one target nonland permanent. · Power / toughness: 9/9

Price
from $2.407 printings
Win rate
41.8% GIH 1,348 instances · Premier Draft
Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 563 wins in 1,348 card-in-hand instances.

1,333 distinct games · 569 distinct drafts · games recorded Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023.

17Lands file dated Aug 30, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

41.8%when drawn (GIH)

−13.8 pp vs 55.6% average · 1,348 instances

Premier Draft · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · average from 980,485 games

#247 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 3.9 on average (13,486 packs).

37 of 38 blue cards · 2 of 2 blue mythic cards.

Taken at pick5.32,128 picks
Makes the deck24.4%2,128 picks with known usage
When played43.6%2,272.7 matchesBenched 54.3%
7,705.3 matches
When drawn41.8%1,348 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 38.4% · 450 instances
● Drawn later 43.4% · 898 instances

In hand 41.8% · 1,348 instances
Unseen in deck 45.1% · 1,400 instances
−3.3 percentage points when drawn

Compared with blue cards

Win rate when drawn41.8%1,348 instances37 of 38
Opening hand38.4%450 instances37 of 38
Drawn later43.4%898 instances37 of 38
In the deck43.5%2,759 instances37 of 38
Without seeing it45.1%1,400 instances37 of 38
Improvement when drawn−3.3 pp1,348 instances / 1,400 instances37 of 38
When benched54.3%7,705.3 matches38 of 38
Makes the deck24.4%2,128 picks with known usage33 of 38
Pick (last seen)3.913,486 packs10 of 38
Taken at5.32,128 picks12 of 38

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Blue–Black UB45.6% ◌270 instancesBlue–Red UR43.3% ◌319 instancesWhite–Blue WU40.0% ◌190 instancesBlue–Green UG32.2%90 instances · under 100

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (41.8% · 1,348 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Usually played with

Deck co-occurrence; not evidence of synergy.

Hithlain Knots1,575 games with both in the deckLórien Revealed1,440 games with both in the deckCaptain of Umbar1,334 games with both in the deck
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 2% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023

Collect

7 printingsScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LTR 0075 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set · jumpstart · jumpstart-v2$2.40
FoilCollector Booster · draft · set$3.21

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 3,570 packs (0.03%) · 1.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 179 packs (0.56%) · 18.3% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 1,343 packs (0.07%) · 2.2% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 119 packs (0.84%) · 22.3% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 140 packs (0.71%) · 8.2% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart · Modeled · About 1 in 70 packs (1.43%) · 22.8% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart-v2 · Modeled · About 1 in 75 packs (1.33%) · 21.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommon or foil33%Main set and booster-fun foils
Draft BoosterRare or mythic rareRegular cards in this group; no separate share publishedDraft and Set Booster mythic printings
Set BoosterTen other Magic cards100%Other Draft and Set Booster printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed rare or mythicRegular cards in this group; no separate share publishedDraft and Set Booster mythic printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed traditional foil100%Main set and booster-fun foils
Collector BoosterFoil main-set rare or mythic14.3%Main set · mythic

Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR ↗ · Sep 22, 2023

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Modern · Legacy · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Chris Cold, LTR 75 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR · Sep 22, 2023
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗