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The Balrog, Durin's Bane LTR 0195 · rare

The Balrog, Durin's Bane · {5}{B}{R} · Legendary Creature — Avatar Demon · This spell costs {1} less to cast for each permanent sacrificed this turn. Haste The Balrog can't be blocked except by legendary creatures. When The Balrog dies, destroy target artifact or creature an opponent controls. · Power / toughness: 7/5

The Balrog, Durin's Bane · {5}{B}{R} · Legendary Creature — Avatar Demon · This spell costs {1} less to cast for each permanent sacrificed this turn. Haste The Balrog can't be blocked except by legendary creatures. When The Balrog dies, destroy target artifact or creature an opponent controls. · Power / toughness: 7/5

Price
from $0.404 printings
Win rate
57.9% GIH 13,312 instances · Premier Draft
Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 7,707 wins in 13,312 card-in-hand instances.

13,144 distinct games · 4,928 distinct drafts · games recorded Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023.

17Lands file dated Aug 30, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

57.9%when drawn (GIH)

+2.3 pp vs 55.6% average · 13,312 instances

Premier Draft · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · average from 980,485 games

#73 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 2.2 on average (14,736 packs).

17 of 45 multicolor cards · 6 of 20 multicolor rare cards.

Taken at pick2.36,436 picks
Makes the deck76.4%6,436 picks with known usage
When played55.3%26,313.4 matchesBenched 55.3%
5,883.6 matches
When drawn57.9%13,312 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 55.5% · 4,841 instances
● Drawn later 59.2% · 8,471 instances

In hand 57.9% · 13,312 instances
Unseen in deck 53.0% · 18,424 instances
+4.9 percentage points when drawn

Compared with multicolor cards

Win rate when drawn57.9%13,312 instances17 of 45
Opening hand55.5%4,841 instances21 of 43
Drawn later59.2%8,471 instances13 of 44
In the deck55.1%31,753 instances16 of 45
Without seeing it53.0%18,424 instances10 of 44
Improvement when drawn+4.9 pp13,312 instances / 18,424 instances25 of 44
When benched55.3%5,883.6 matches27 of 45
Makes the deck76.4%6,436 picks with known usage4 of 45
Pick (last seen)2.214,736 packs5 of 45
Taken at2.36,436 picks7 of 45

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Black–Red BR59.9%6,005 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (57.9% · 13,312 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Best with

Adjusted associations, ranked by confidence.

Swarming of Moria+4.1 pp11,398 games with both in the deck · 2,478 both drawn
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 71% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023

Collect

4 printingsScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LTR 0195 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set$0.40
FoilCollector Booster · draft · set$1.66

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 1,715 packs (0.06%) · 2.1% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 86 packs (1.17%) · 34.4% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 645 packs (0.15%) · 4.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 59 packs (1.68%) · 39.9% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 70 packs (1.43%) · 15.9% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommon or foil33%Main set and booster-fun foils
Draft BoosterRare or mythic rareRegular cards in this group; no separate share publishedDraft and Set Booster rare printings
Set BoosterTen other Magic cards100%Other Draft and Set Booster printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed rare or mythicRegular cards in this group; no separate share publishedDraft and Set Booster rare printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed traditional foil100%Main set and booster-fun foils
Collector BoosterFoil main-set rare or mythic85.7%Main set · rare

Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR ↗ · Sep 22, 2023

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Modern · Legacy · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Kekai Kotaki, LTR 195 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Black–Red cards → · Regular printing printings →
Sources
Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR · Sep 22, 2023
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗