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Old Man Willow LTR 0217 · uncommon

Old Man Willow · {2}{B}{G} · Legendary Creature — Treefolk · Old Man Willow's power and toughness are each equal to the number of lands you control.
Whenever Old Man Willow attacks, you may sacrifice another creature or a token. When you do, target creature an opponent controls gets -2/-2 until end of turn. · Power / toughness: */*

Old Man Willow · {2}{B}{G} · Legendary Creature — Treefolk · Old Man Willow's power and toughness are each equal to the number of lands you control. Whenever Old Man Willow attacks, you may sacrifice another creature or a token. When you do, target creature an opponent controls gets -2/-2 until end of turn. · Power / toughness: */*

Price
from $0.192 printings
Win rate
59.2% GIH 35,212 instances · Premier Draft
Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · 17Lands
Draft
◆ Key pickExpendable material and a real return target

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 20,839 wins in 35,212 card-in-hand instances.

32,201 distinct games · 10,857 distinct drafts · games recorded Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023.

17Lands file dated Aug 30, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Play

Black–Green · Black–GreenBlack–Green plan →

Stabilize with black removal, then use large creatures and recursion to outlast the opponent. Old Man Willow can turn spare Food or creatures into -2/-2 each time it attacks.

How this changes your picks

Rules-derived
Take it when
Expendable material and a real return target.
What to take next
Stabilize with black removal, then use large creatures and recursion to outlast the opponent. Old Man Willow can turn spare Food or creatures into -2/-2 each time it attacks.
Wrong pick
You cannot sacrifice a nontoken artifact such as Lembas to Willow unless it is also a creature. The cost says another creature or a token.
Mana & splash
Usually play both colors for a synergy reward. Splash only if it works with your existing cards and you already have reliable fixing.

More

One-pick Draft
You cannot sacrifice a nontoken artifact such as Lembas to Willow unless it is also a creature. The cost says another creature or a token.

Draft data

59.2%when drawn (GIH)

+3.6 pp vs 55.6% average · 35,212 instances

Premier Draft · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · average from 980,485 games

#52 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 3.6 on average (74,215 packs).

14 of 45 multicolor cards · 7 of 20 multicolor uncommon cards.

Taken at pick4.519,060 picks
Makes the deck65.9%19,060 picks with known usage
When played55.1%66,647.7 matchesBenched 56.2%
28,954.3 matches
When drawn59.2%35,212 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 56.6% · 13,415 instances
● Drawn later 60.8% · 21,797 instances

In hand 59.2% · 35,212 instances
Unseen in deck 51.6% · 45,155 instances
+7.6 percentage points when drawn

Compared with multicolor cards

Win rate when drawn59.2%35,212 instances14 of 45
Opening hand56.6%13,415 instances17 of 43
Drawn later60.8%21,797 instances10 of 44
In the deck55.0%80,558 instances19 of 45
Without seeing it51.6%45,155 instances18 of 44
Improvement when drawn+7.6 pp35,212 instances / 45,155 instances14 of 44
When benched56.2%28,954.3 matches5 of 45
Makes the deck65.9%19,060 picks with known usage18 of 45
Pick (last seen)3.674,215 packs23 of 45
Taken at4.519,060 picks24 of 45

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Black–Green BG62.7%8,025 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (59.2% · 35,212 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Best with

Adjusted associations, ranked by confidence.

Many Partings+4.9 pp27,867 games with both in the deck · 7,125 both drawn
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 80% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023

Collect

2 printingsScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LTR 0217 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set$0.19
Foildraft · set · Collector Booster$0.31

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 1,075 packs (0.09%) · 3.3% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 30 packs (3.35%) · 70.6% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 358 packs (0.28%) · 8.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 24 packs (4.13%) · 71.7% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 39 packs (2.53%) · 26.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommon or foil33%Main set and booster-fun foils
Draft BoosterUncommons100% per positionDraft and Set Booster uncommon printings
Set BoosterTen other Magic cards100%Other Draft and Set Booster printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed traditional foil100%Main set and booster-fun foils
Collector BoosterFoil uncommons100% per positionFoil uncommons other than Nazgûl

Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR ↗ · Sep 22, 2023

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Modern · Legacy · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Miklós Ligeti, LTR 217 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Black–Green cards → · Regular printing printings →
Sources
Mark Rosewater · Crafting the Ring, Part 2 · Jun 5, 2023
Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR · Sep 22, 2023
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗