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Fog on the Barrow-Downs LTR 0016 · common

Fog on the Barrow-Downs · {2}{W} · Enchantment — Aura · Enchant creature Enchanted creature is a Spirit and can't attack or block. (It loses all other creature types.) · "Cold be hand and heart and bone, and cold be sleep under stone: never more to wake on stony bed, never, till the Sun fails and the Moon is dead."

Fog on the Barrow-Downs · {2}{W} · Enchantment — Aura · Enchant creature Enchanted creature is a Spirit and can't attack or block. (It loses all other creature types.) · "Cold be hand and heart and bone, and cold be sleep under stone: never more to wake on stony bed, never, till the Sun fails and the Moon is dead."

Price
from $0.112 printings
Win rate
52.2% GIH 40,409 instances · Premier Draft
Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 21,080 wins in 40,409 card-in-hand instances.

36,588 distinct games · 12,822 distinct drafts · games recorded Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023.

17Lands file dated Aug 30, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

52.2%when drawn (GIH)

−3.4 pp vs 55.6% average · 40,409 instances

Premier Draft · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · average from 980,485 games

#204 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 5.5 on average (301,064 packs).

32 of 38 white cards · 16 of 19 white common cards.

Taken at pick8.331,785 picks
Makes the deck49.2%31,785 picks with known usage
When played52.6%79,582.9 matchesBenched 55.4%
76,032.1 matches
When drawn52.2%40,409 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 48.9% · 15,794 instances
● Drawn later 54.2% · 24,615 instances

In hand 52.2% · 40,409 instances
Unseen in deck 52.9% · 56,374 instances
−0.8 percentage points when drawn

Compared with white cards

Win rate when drawn52.2%40,409 instances32 of 38
Opening hand48.9%15,794 instances36 of 37
Drawn later54.2%24,615 instances28 of 37
In the deck52.6%96,917 instances32 of 38
Without seeing it52.9%56,374 instances23 of 38
Improvement when drawn−0.8 pp40,409 instances / 56,374 instances34 of 38
When benched55.4%76,032.1 matches15 of 38
Makes the deck49.2%31,785 picks with known usage25 of 38
Pick (last seen)5.5301,064 packs22 of 38
Taken at8.331,785 picks24 of 38

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

White–Black WB54.7%9,412 instancesRed–White RW54.1%9,782 instancesWhite–Blue WU52.0%4,443 instancesGreen–White GW50.3%4,507 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (52.2% · 40,409 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Usually played with

Deck co-occurrence; not evidence of synergy.

Errand-Rider of Gondor40,954 games with both in the deckEagles of the North38,617 games with both in the deckWestfold Rider37,119 games with both in the deck
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 19% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023

Collect

2 printingsScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LTR 0016 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set · jumpstart · jumpstart-v2$0.11
FoilCollector Booster · draft · set$0.23

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 675 packs (0.15%) · 5.2% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 10 packs (9.68%) · 97.4% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 225 packs (0.44%) · 12.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 23 packs (4.26%) · 72.9% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 25 packs (3.95%) · 38.4% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart · Modeled · About 1 in 10 packs (10.00%) · 85.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart-v2 · Modeled · About 1 in 10 packs (10.00%) · 85.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommons100% per positionDraft and Set Booster common printings
Draft BoosterCommon or foil67%Draft and Set Booster common printings
Draft BoosterCommon or foil33%Main set and booster-fun foils
Set BoosterTen other Magic cards100%Other Draft and Set Booster printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed traditional foil100%Main set and booster-fun foils
Collector BoosterFoil commons100% per positionMain set · common
Collector BoosterFoil common or rare Sol Ring treatmentRegular cards in this group; no separate share publishedMain set · common

Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR ↗ · Sep 22, 2023

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Modern · Legacy · Pauper · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Marco Gorlei, LTR 16 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR · Sep 22, 2023
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗