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Fall of Cair Andros LTR 0124 · rare

Fall of Cair Andros · {2}{R} · Enchantment · Whenever a creature an opponent controls is dealt excess noncombat damage, amass Orcs X, where X is that excess damage. (Put X +1/+1 counters on an Army you control. It's also an Orc. If you don't control an Army, create a 0/0 black Orc Army creature token first.) {7}{R}: This enchantment deals 7 damage to target creature.

Fall of Cair Andros · {2}{R} · Enchantment · Whenever a creature an opponent controls is dealt excess noncombat damage, amass Orcs X, where X is that excess damage. (Put X +1/+1 counters on an Army you control. It's also an Orc. If you don't control an Army, create a 0/0 black Orc Army creature token first.) {7}{R}: This enchantment deals 7 damage to target creature.

Price
from $0.385 printings
Win rate
53.0% GIH 7,135 instances · Premier Draft
Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 3,785 wins in 7,135 card-in-hand instances.

7,088 distinct games · 2,682 distinct drafts · games recorded Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023.

17Lands file dated Aug 30, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

53.0%when drawn (GIH)

−2.5 pp vs 55.6% average · 7,135 instances

Premier Draft · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · average from 980,485 games

#189 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 3.5 on average (24,728 packs).

32 of 37 red cards · 5 of 6 red rare cards.

Taken at pick4.45,051 picks
Makes the deck52.1%5,051 picks with known usage
When played52.8%13,567.1 matchesBenched 55.5%
11,328.9 matches
When drawn53.0%7,135 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 50.0% · 2,695 instances
● Drawn later 54.9% · 4,440 instances

In hand 53.0% · 7,135 instances
Unseen in deck 52.4% · 8,967 instances
+0.6 percentage points when drawn

Compared with red cards

Win rate when drawn53.0%7,135 instances32 of 37
Opening hand50.0%2,695 instances33 of 37
Drawn later54.9%4,440 instances31 of 37
In the deck52.7%16,163 instances34 of 38
Without seeing it52.4%8,967 instances35 of 38
Improvement when drawn+0.6 pp7,135 instances / 8,967 instances24 of 37
When benched55.5%11,328.9 matches25 of 38
Makes the deck52.1%5,051 picks with known usage28 of 38
Pick (last seen)3.524,728 packs13 of 38
Taken at4.45,051 picks14 of 38

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Black–Red BR55.7%1,607 instancesRed–Green RG54.2% ◌271 instancesBlue–Red UR54.0%2,241 instancesRed–White RW46.6% ◌352 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (53.0% · 7,135 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Usually played with

Deck co-occurrence; not evidence of synergy.

Smite the Deathless7,843 games with both in the deckImprovised Club7,055 games with both in the deckRally at the Hornburg6,514 games with both in the deck
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 25% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023

Collect

5 printingsScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LTR 0124 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set · jumpstart · jumpstart-v2$0.38
FoilCollector Booster · draft · set$0.41

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 1,715 packs (0.06%) · 2.1% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 86 packs (1.17%) · 34.4% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 645 packs (0.15%) · 4.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 59 packs (1.68%) · 39.9% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 70 packs (1.43%) · 15.9% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart · Modeled · About 1 in 35 packs (2.86%) · 40.7% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart-v2 · Modeled · About 1 in 38 packs (2.67%) · 38.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommon or foil33%Main set and booster-fun foils
Draft BoosterRare or mythic rareRegular cards in this group; no separate share publishedDraft and Set Booster rare printings
Set BoosterTen other Magic cards100%Other Draft and Set Booster printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed rare or mythicRegular cards in this group; no separate share publishedDraft and Set Booster rare printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed traditional foil100%Main set and booster-fun foils
Collector BoosterFoil main-set rare or mythic85.7%Main set · rare

Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR ↗ · Sep 22, 2023

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Modern · Legacy · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Shahab Alizadeh, LTR 124 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR · Sep 22, 2023
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗