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Bill the Pony LTR 0003 · uncommon

Bill the Pony · {3}{W} · Legendary Creature — Horse · When Bill the Pony enters, create two Food tokens. (They're artifacts with "{2}, {T}, Sacrifice this token: You gain 3 life.") Sacrifice a Food: Until end of turn, target creature you control assigns combat damage equal to its toughness rather than its power. · Power / toughness: 1/4

Bill the Pony · {3}{W} · Legendary Creature — Horse · When Bill the Pony enters, create two Food tokens. (They're artifacts with "{2}, {T}, Sacrifice this token: You gain 3 life.") Sacrifice a Food: Until end of turn, target creature you control assigns combat damage equal to its toughness rather than its power. · Power / toughness: 1/4

Price
from $0.152 printings
Win rate
57.2% GIH 38,401 instances · Premier Draft
Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 21,979 wins in 38,401 card-in-hand instances.

36,051 distinct games · 12,580 distinct drafts · games recorded Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023.

17Lands file dated Aug 30, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Play

Two Foods support your life total and Food rewards. Its sacrifice ability can let a high-toughness creature hit harder without paying two mana.

More

One-pick Draft
Two Foods support your life total and Food rewards. Its sacrifice ability can let a high-toughness creature hit harder without paying two mana.

Draft data

57.2%when drawn (GIH)

+1.6 pp vs 55.6% average · 38,401 instances

Premier Draft · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · average from 980,485 games

#85 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 3.5 on average (74,719 packs).

8 of 38 white cards · 3 of 11 white uncommon cards.

Taken at pick4.418,937 picks
Makes the deck73.3%18,937 picks with known usage
When played55.0%72,298.4 matchesBenched 55.3%
21,356.6 matches
When drawn57.2%38,401 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 55.8% · 14,807 instances
● Drawn later 58.2% · 23,594 instances

In hand 57.2% · 38,401 instances
Unseen in deck 52.8% · 49,822 instances
+4.5 percentage points when drawn

Compared with white cards

Win rate when drawn57.2%38,401 instances8 of 38
Opening hand55.8%14,807 instances10 of 37
Drawn later58.2%23,594 instances6 of 37
In the deck54.8%88,795 instances13 of 38
Without seeing it52.8%49,822 instances27 of 38
Improvement when drawn+4.5 pp38,401 instances / 49,822 instances5 of 38
When benched55.3%21,356.6 matches19 of 38
Makes the deck73.3%18,937 picks with known usage11 of 38
Pick (last seen)3.574,719 packs13 of 38
Taken at4.418,937 picks13 of 38

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

White–Black WB59.6%9,639 instancesWhite–Blue WU57.7%3,717 instancesGreen–White GW56.2%4,143 instancesRed–White RW56.2%5,983 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (57.2% · 38,401 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Best with

Adjusted associations, ranked by confidence.

Frodo Baggins+4.0 pp13,495 games with both in the deck · 3,183 both drawnThe Battle of Bywater+5.6 pp5,636 games with both in the deck · 1,219 both drawnTook Reaper+2.7 pp27,429 games with both in the deck · 6,735 both drawn
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 66% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023

Collect

2 printingsScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LTR 0003 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set · jumpstart$0.15
Foildraft · set · Collector Booster$0.38

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 1,075 packs (0.09%) · 3.3% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 30 packs (3.35%) · 70.6% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 358 packs (0.28%) · 8.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 24 packs (4.13%) · 71.7% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 39 packs (2.53%) · 26.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart · Modeled · About 1 in 5 packs (20.00%) · 98.2% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommon or foil33%Main set and booster-fun foils
Draft BoosterUncommons100% per positionDraft and Set Booster uncommon printings
Set BoosterTen other Magic cards100%Other Draft and Set Booster printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed traditional foil100%Main set and booster-fun foils
Collector BoosterFoil uncommons100% per positionFoil uncommons other than Nazgûl

Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR ↗ · Sep 22, 2023

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Modern · Legacy · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Christina Kraus, LTR 3 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR · Sep 22, 2023
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗