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Dire Downdraft BLB 0046 · common

Dire Downdraft · {3}{U} · Instant · This spell costs {1} less to cast if it targets an attacking or tapped creature. Target creature's owner puts it on their choice of the top or bottom of their library. · Quickwing's elite flyers were more than capable of navigating ordinary storms, but Dragonhawk's storms were anything but ordinary.

Dire Downdraft · {3}{U} · Instant · This spell costs {1} less to cast if it targets an attacking or tapped creature. Target creature's owner puts it on their choice of the top or bottom of their library. · Quickwing's elite flyers were more than capable of navigating ordinary storms, but Dragonhawk's storms were anything but ordinary.

Price
from $0.111 printing
Win rate
56.3% GIH 73,570 instances · Premier Draft
Jul 30–Sep 3, 2024 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 41,398 wins in 73,570 card-in-hand instances.

64,119 distinct games · 20,249 distinct drafts · games recorded Jul 30–Sep 3, 2024.

17Lands file dated Sep 6, 2024 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

56.3%when drawn (GIH)

+1.7 pp vs 54.6% average · 73,570 instances

Premier Draft · Jul 30–Sep 3, 2024 · average from 931,230 games

#110 of 258 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 6.4 on average (317,323 packs).

16 of 42 blue cards · 1 of 13 blue common cards.

Taken at pick8.948,769 picks
Makes the deck53.5%48,769 picks with known usage
When played54.0%137,672.8 matchesBenched 54.4%
107,091.2 matches
When drawn56.3%73,570 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jul 30–Sep 3, 2024. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 53.5% · 26,277 instances
● Drawn later 57.8% · 47,293 instances

In hand 56.3% · 73,570 instances
Unseen in deck 52.0% · 88,044 instances
+4.3 percentage points when drawn

Compared with blue cards

Win rate when drawn56.3%73,570 instances16 of 42
Opening hand53.5%26,277 instances14 of 42
Drawn later57.8%47,293 instances15 of 42
In the deck54.0%162,964 instances13 of 42
Without seeing it52.0%88,044 instances5 of 42
Improvement when drawn+4.3 pp73,570 instances / 88,044 instances26 of 42
When benched54.4%107,091.2 matches12 of 42
Makes the deck53.5%48,769 picks with known usage18 of 42
Pick (last seen)6.4317,323 packs30 of 42
Taken at8.948,769 picks29 of 42

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Frogfolk UG58.0%19,320 instancesRatfolk UB56.9%11,570 instancesOtterfolk UR56.0%10,944 instancesBirdfolk WU53.7%5,422 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (56.3% · 73,570 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Usually played with

Deck co-occurrence; not evidence of synergy.

Pond Prophet50,863 games with both in the deckShore Up49,822 games with both in the deckDazzling Denial44,755 games with both in the deck
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 58% of 258 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jul 30–Sep 3, 2024

Collect

1 printingScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

BLB 0046 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
NonfoilPlay Booster · Value Booster$0.11
FoilCollector Booster · Play Booster · Value Booster$0.19

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 16 packs (6.17%) · 53.4% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 140 packs (0.72%) · 22.8% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 11 packs (8.85%) · 96.4% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a value · Modeled · About 1 in 351 packs (0.29%) · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a value · Modeled · About 1 in 22 packs (4.54%) · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Play BoosterCommons100% per positionCommons
Play BoosterCommon or bonus-sheet replacement98.5%Common
Play BoosterWildcard of any rarity100%Wildcard of any rarity
Play BoosterTraditional foil of any rarity100%Traditional foil of any rarity
Collector BoosterTraditional foil commons100% per positionTraditional foil commons

Wizards · Collecting Bloomburrow ↗ · Oct 29, 2026

Details & sources

Legal in
Standard · Historic · Timeless · Pioneer · Modern · Legacy · Pauper · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Martin Wittfooth, BLB 46 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Wizards · Collecting Bloomburrow · Oct 29, 2026
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗