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Forlorn Flats OTJ 0258 · common

Forlorn Flats · Land — Desert · This land enters tapped.
When this land enters, it deals 1 damage to target opponent.
{T}: Add {W} or {B}. · "Should have known that shine on the horizon wasn't water."
—Pioneer journal of Big Ralph

Forlorn Flats · Land — Desert · This land enters tapped. When this land enters, it deals 1 damage to target opponent. {T}: Add {W} or {B}. · "Should have known that shine on the horizon wasn't water." —Pioneer journal of Big Ralph

Price
from $0.271 printing
Win rate
55.6% GIH 81,413 instances · Premier Draft
Apr 16–May 27, 2024 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 45,263 wins in 81,413 card-in-hand instances.

78,892 distinct games · 28,684 distinct drafts · games recorded Apr 16–May 27, 2024.

17Lands file dated May 30, 2024 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

55.6%when drawn (GIH)

+1.5 pp vs 54.1% average · 81,413 instances

Premier Draft · Apr 16–May 27, 2024 · average from 1,172,393 games

Land · compared with other lands below · last seen around pick 4.9 on average (179,155 packs).

8 of 30 land cards.

Taken at pick6.739,252 picks
Makes the deck78.3%39,252 picks with known usage
When played54.8%165,815.7 matchesBenched 54.9%
35,708.3 matches
When drawn55.6%81,413 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Apr 16–May 27, 2024. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 56.6% · 35,568 instances
● Drawn later 54.8% · 45,845 instances

In hand 55.6% · 81,413 instances
Unseen in deck 53.6% · 108,399 instances
+2.0 percentage points when drawn

Compared with land cards

Win rate when drawn55.6%81,413 instances8 of 30
Opening hand56.6%35,568 instances5 of 30
Drawn later54.8%45,845 instances7 of 30
In the deck54.7%194,409 instances8 of 30
Without seeing it53.6%108,399 instances17 of 30
Improvement when drawn+2.0 pp81,413 instances / 108,399 instances8 of 30
When benched54.9%35,708.3 matches7 of 30
Makes the deck78.3%39,252 picks with known usage10 of 30
Pick (last seen)4.9179,155 packs16 of 30
Taken at6.739,252 picks16 of 30

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Blue–Black UB59.3%2,650 instancesGreen–White GW58.9%1,643 instancesWhite–Black WB58.5%6,755 instancesBlack–Green BG58.0%2,388 instancesRed–White RW57.2% ◌374 instancesWhite–Blue WU53.9% ◌356 instancesBlack–Red BR53.2%1,751 instancesBlue–Green UG60.0%15 instances · under 100Red–Green RG58.1%31 instances · under 100Blue–Red UR33.3%3 instances · under 100

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (55.6% · 81,413 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Card partners need a verified analysis of this format’s public game file.

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Apr 16–May 27, 2024

Collect

1 printingScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

OTJ 0258 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
NonfoilPlay Booster$0.27
FoilCollector Booster · Play Booster$0.37

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 23 packs (4.40%) · 41.7% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 100 packs (1.00%) · 30.4% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a Play Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 25 packs (4.00%) · 77.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Play BoosterLand80%Land · nonfoil
Play BoosterLand20%Land · foil
Collector BoosterTraditional foil commons100% per positionTraditional foil commons

Wizards · Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction ↗ · Oct 29, 2026

Details & sources

Legal in
Standard · Historic · Timeless · Pioneer · Modern · Legacy · Pauper · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
Robin Olausson, OTJ 258 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Wizards · Collecting Outlaws of Thunder Junction · Oct 29, 2026
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗