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Bitter Downfall LTR 0077 · uncommon

Bitter Downfall · {3}{B} · Instant · This spell costs {3} less to cast if it targets a creature that was dealt damage this turn. Destroy target creature. Its controller loses 2 life. · "I tried to take the Ring from Frodo. I am sorry. I have paid." —Boromir

Bitter Downfall · {3}{B} · Instant · This spell costs {3} less to cast if it targets a creature that was dealt damage this turn. Destroy target creature. Its controller loses 2 life. · "I tried to take the Ring from Frodo. I am sorry. I have paid." —Boromir

Price
from $0.182 printings
Win rate
60.4% GIH 59,638 instances · Premier Draft
Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 36,013 wins in 59,638 card-in-hand instances.

56,083 distinct games · 18,652 distinct drafts · games recorded Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023.

17Lands file dated Aug 30, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

60.4%when drawn (GIH)

+4.8 pp vs 55.6% average · 59,638 instances

Premier Draft · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023 · average from 980,485 games

#32 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 2.2 on average (43,652 packs).

12 of 38 black cards · 6 of 11 black uncommon cards.

Taken at pick2.422,741 picks
Makes the deck87.3%22,741 picks with known usage
When played57.3%107,683.6 matchesBenched 54.8%
8,450.4 matches
When drawn60.4%59,638 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 56.8% · 21,863 instances
● Drawn later 62.4% · 37,775 instances

In hand 60.4% · 59,638 instances
Unseen in deck 54.8% · 72,277 instances
+5.6 percentage points when drawn

Compared with black cards

Win rate when drawn60.4%59,638 instances12 of 38
Opening hand56.8%21,863 instances18 of 38
Drawn later62.4%37,775 instances6 of 38
In the deck57.3%131,657 instances15 of 38
Without seeing it54.8%72,277 instances21 of 38
Improvement when drawn+5.6 pp59,638 instances / 72,277 instances9 of 38
When benched54.8%8,450.4 matches28 of 38
Makes the deck87.3%22,741 picks with known usage3 of 38
Pick (last seen)2.243,652 packs6 of 38
Taken at2.422,741 picks6 of 38

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Black–Red BR62.7%15,058 instancesBlue–Black UB61.2%10,699 instancesWhite–Black WB60.3%8,099 instancesBlack–Green BG60.1%3,528 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (60.4% · 59,638 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Best with

Adjusted associations, ranked by confidence.

Gorbag of Minas Morgul+6.3 pp12,700 games with both in the deck · 2,691 both drawnEast-Mark Cavalier+5.1 pp8,460 games with both in the deck · 1,876 both drawnSlip On the Ring+5.8 pp4,986 games with both in the deck · 1,047 both drawn
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 88% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Jun 15–Aug 28, 2023

Collect

2 printingsScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LTR 0077 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set · Commander Deck The Hosts of Mordor · jumpstart · jumpstart-v2$0.18
Foildraft · set · Collector Booster$0.25

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 1,075 packs (0.09%) · 3.3% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 30 packs (3.35%) · 70.6% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 358 packs (0.28%) · 8.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 24 packs (4.13%) · 71.7% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 39 packs (2.53%) · 26.5% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart · Modeled · About 1 in 10 packs (10.00%) · 85.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a jumpstart-v2 · Modeled · About 1 in 10 packs (10.00%) · 85.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommon or foil33%Main set and booster-fun foils
Draft BoosterUncommons100% per positionDraft and Set Booster uncommon printings
Set BoosterTen other Magic cards100%Other Draft and Set Booster printings
Set BoosterGuaranteed traditional foil100%Main set and booster-fun foils
Collector BoosterFoil uncommons100% per positionFoil uncommons other than Nazgûl

Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR ↗ · Sep 22, 2023

Details & sources

Legal in
Historic · Timeless · Modern · Legacy · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
John Di Giovanni, LTR 77 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Mike Turian and Adam Styborski · Collecting LOTR · Sep 22, 2023
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗