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Confounding Riddle LCI 0050 · uncommon

Confounding Riddle · {2}{U} · Instant · Choose one —
• Look at the top four cards of your library. Put one of them into your hand and the rest into your graveyard.
• Counter target spell unless its controller pays {4}. · Explorers learned not to tamper with sites of ancient power without learning their purpose.

Confounding Riddle · {2}{U} · Instant · Choose one — • Look at the top four cards of your library. Put one of them into your hand and the rest into your graveyard. • Counter target spell unless its controller pays {4}. · Explorers learned not to tamper with sites of ancient power without learning their purpose.

Price
from $0.301 printing
Win rate
54.1% GIH 23,047 instances · Premier Draft
Nov 9–Dec 25, 2023 · 17Lands

Game-in-hand win rate, all deck colors. 12,470 wins in 23,047 card-in-hand instances.

22,104 distinct games · 8,158 distinct drafts · games recorded Nov 9–Dec 25, 2023.

17Lands file dated Dec 27, 2023 · 100-instance minimum · 17Lands public data ↗

Draft data

54.1%when drawn (GIH)

−1.2 pp vs 55.3% average · 23,047 instances

Premier Draft · Nov 9–Dec 25, 2023 · average from 823,614 games

#153 of 251 nonland cards by win rate · last seen around pick 5.3 on average (90,608 packs).

25 of 41 blue cards · 9 of 14 blue uncommon cards.

Taken at pick7.116,634 picks
Makes the deck53.3%16,634 picks with known usage
When played53.6%46,284.3 matchesBenched 56.3%
37,607.7 matches
When drawn54.1%23,047 instances

Pick and maindeck observations: Nov 9–Dec 25, 2023. Played/benched cells use matches when available; the drawn cell uses game instances.

○ Opening hand 52.6% · 9,126 instances
● Drawn later 55.1% · 13,921 instances

In hand 54.1% · 23,047 instances
Unseen in deck 53.0% · 31,602 instances
+1.1 percentage points when drawn

Compared with blue cards

Win rate when drawn54.1%23,047 instances25 of 41
Opening hand52.6%9,126 instances27 of 41
Drawn later55.1%13,921 instances23 of 41
In the deck53.5%55,057 instances26 of 41
Without seeing it53.0%31,602 instances26 of 41
Improvement when drawn+1.1 pp23,047 instances / 31,602 instances19 of 41
When benched56.3%37,607.7 matches5 of 41
Makes the deck53.3%16,634 picks with known usage22 of 41
Pick (last seen)5.390,608 packs19 of 41
Taken at7.116,634 picks20 of 41

Ranks require 100 observations for that metric; comparisons are descriptive, not a pick order. Pick ranks put earlier picks first.

Best decks for it

no-splash decks only · card-level in-hand rates · 100 minimum

Oltec Ingenuity WU56.0%6,720 instancesEchoes of the Dead UB54.8%5,357 instancesPirates' Plunder UR53.1%3,945 instancesRiver Herald Expedition UG52.2%1,654 instances

Each tick is this card’s all-decks rate (54.1% · 23,047 instances). A high card rate does not prove that splashing it will improve your deck.

Usually played with

Deck co-occurrence; not evidence of synergy.

Waterwind Scout27,371 games with both in the deckInverted Iceberg24,989 games with both in the deckOaken Siren23,805 games with both in the deck
How to read this

Observational, not a causal bonus. Both cards must be in the deck. Drawn means opening hand or normally drawn; each card counts once per game. Game-level approximate intervals do not account for repeated games by the same drafter.

At least 100 games in each of four drawn/not-drawn groups; adjusted for game length and screened by the lower confidence bound. Do not add these points to a card’s win rate.

Where it sits in the set

Above 39% of 251 nonland cards with 100+ instances, in win-rate order.

30% or lowerWin rate94% or higher

17Lands public datasets ↗ · CC BY 4.0 ↗ · Nov 9–Dec 25, 2023

Collect

1 printingScryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25Pack odds →

Pick a printing for its prices and pull odds.

Prices

LCI 0050 · Regular printingListings ↗
FinishFound inPrice
Nonfoildraft · set$0.32
FoilCollector Booster · draft · set$0.30

Foil in a Collector Booster · Modeled · About 1 in 31 packs (3.26%) · 32.8% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 1,104 packs (0.09%) · 3.2% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a draft · Modeled · About 1 in 27 packs (3.75%) · 74.7% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Foil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 368 packs (0.27%) · 7.8% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

Nonfoil in a set · Modeled · About 1 in 28 packs (3.63%) · 67.0% per display · MTGJSON model Oct 25, 2026 · How it’s modeled →

How to pull it

Official rates for the whole category, not this card.

BoosterSlotPer packCategory
Draft BoosterCommon or traditional foil33%Traditional foil of any rarity
Draft BoosterUncommons100% per positionUncommons
Set BoosterUncommons100% per positionUncommons
Set BoosterTraditional foil of any rarity100%Traditional foil of any rarity
Set BoosterWildcards100% per positionWildcards
Collector BoosterTraditional foil uncommons100% per positionTraditional foil uncommons

Wizards · Collecting The Lost Caverns of Ixalan ↗ · Oct 29, 2026

Details & sources

Legal in
Standard · Historic · Timeless · Pioneer · Modern · Legacy · Vintage · CommanderLimited eligibility depends on the event and its booster pool.
Illustration
A. M. Sartor, LCI 50 · Scryfall ↗
More like this
Regular printing printings →
Sources
Wizards · Collecting The Lost Caverns of Ixalan · Oct 29, 2026
Scryfall USD, snapshot Oct 25
Comprehensive Rules ↗